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Blavatnik ousts Outhouse to re-emerge as bookmaker’s Stirling Prize favourite

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Bookmaker William Hill has said it has seen a late flurry of bets on Herzog & de Meuron’s Blavatnik School of Government to win this year’s RIBA Stirling Prize

As a result William Hill has cut the odds on the building winning the 2016 accolade from 7/2 to 5/2 and installed it as the new favourite.

The rotunda-like landmark in Oxford began as the bookmaker’s frontrunner for the prize in July, but was replaced as its favourite following a run of wagers on Loyn & Co’s Outhouse last month (see AJ 13.09.16). 

According to a spokesman for William Hill the reverse followed a rush of ‘last minute gambles’ on the Herzog & de Meuron-designed building and a succession of bets ‘all from south London’.

The bookmaker also admitted it would lose money if the Blavatnik School of Government picked up the prize tonight (6 October).

Meanwhile Loyn & Co’s 490m² country house in the Forest of Dean remains at 3/1 to win, with the AJ’s alternative jury’s choice, City of Glasgow College, slipping from 4/1 to the less favourable 9/2.

The three other contenders are all now priced at 5/1 including Caruso St John’s Newport Street Gallery in Vauxhall, which topped the AJ’s readers’ poll.

The judging panel, which this year is chaired by Zaha Hadid Architects’ Patrik Schumacher, includes AHMM’s Paul Monaghan, Heneghan Peng co-founder Roísín Heneghan, Mike Hussey, founder of sponsor Almacantar, and artist Rachel Whiteread.

The winner of the award will be announced on tonight during a ceremony at the RIBA’s London HQ.

Revised RIBA Stirling Prize odds (6 October)

  • 5/2 Blavatnik School of Government, University of Oxford
  • 3/1 Outhouse, Gloucestershire
  • 9/2 Riverside Campus, City of Glasgow College, Glasgow
  • 5/1 Weston Library, University of Oxford
  • 5/1 Trafalgar Place, Elephant & Castle, London
  • 5/1 Newport Street Gallery, Vauxhall, London

The shortlist

Blavatnik School of Government by Herzog & de Meuron

RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist 2016

RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist 2016

Source: Jim Stephenson

Practice’s previous nominations 1 (Laban Centre in 2003) Wins 1

Original odds 3/1 Latest odds 5/2

Outhouse by Loyn & Co

2016 RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist

2016 RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist

Source: Charles Hosea
Outhouse by Loyn & Co

Practice’s previous nominations 0 Wins: 0
Original odds 5/1 Latest odds 3/1

City of Glasgow College by Reiach and Hall with Michael Laird Architects

Glasgow college night

City of Glasgow College by Reiach and Hall with Michael Laird Architects

Practice’s previous nominations 1 (Maggie’s Lanarkshire in 2015) Wins: 0

Original odds 4/1 Latest odds 9/2

Weston Library by WilkinsonEyre

2016 RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist

Weston Library by Wilkinson Eyre

Source: Jim Stephenson

Practice’s previous nominations 2 (Magna Centre in 2001 and Gateshead Millennium Bridge in 2002) Wins: 2
Original odds 7/2 Latest odds 5/1

Trafalgar Place by dRMM

Trafalgar Place by dRMM

Trafalgar Place by dRMM

Source: Alex de Rijke

Practice’s previous nominations 1 (Clapham Manor in 2010) Wins: 0
Original odds 4/1 Latest odds 5/1


2016 RIBA Stirling Prize shortlist

Newport Street Gallery by Caruso St John

Source: Helene Binet

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Readers' comments (1)

  • Chris Roche

    It is interesting to note that Bookies are closer to agreement on the likely outcome of this year's Stirling Prize than architects. Unlike in some recent years, this is far from a one horse race with the outcome almost guaranteed to divide opinion. My money is on ...

    Chris Roche / Founder 11.04

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