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A prosperous 2013? Your predictions for the next 12 months

A new runway for Heathrow, Royal twins, redrawing the greenbelt and a boom in part-time students - the AJ’s readers give their predictions for 2013

Richard Rose Casemore, director at Design Engine
‘Michael Gove will continue to not get architecture, and more architects will make it onto reality shows to fill their time.’

Roger Fitzgerald, partner at ADP
‘By the end of the year things will, finally, be more upbeat, with more confidence and more government spending - after all, an election will be on the horizon.  Meanwhile at least one major contractor will go bust. Top tip to architects with increasing work for contractors: keep a really close eye on your debtors list.

Reza Schuster, director at MJP Architects Limited
‘Some bright spark will point out that there’s a Workstage G and H sized-hole in the 2013 RIBA Plan of  Work -somewhere between Stage 4 and 5 - and that the new stages will cause general weeping and gnashing of teeth (AJ 20.11.12). What on earth are the RIBA up to?’

Ben Derbyshire of HTA
‘Years of campaigning for really clear consumer labelling of new and second hand of housing will finally be rewarded by a commitment from the Cabinet Office to do something effective and make the first move to enable consumer pull on quality of the product.’

Chris Williamson, Weston Williamson
‘The Davies commission will suggest a new runway at Heathrow is the most viable option for London’s future airport capacity.’

Alfred Munkenbeck of Munkenbeck+Partners Architects
‘2013 will be the year that property prices finally bottom out around the Anglo Saxon world.  Americas have started to rise and UK, which crashed a year later than US will follow.  These debilitating corrections always last five years.’ 

Chris Medland of  one-world design
‘The Duchess of Cambridge will have twins, one of each but the girl will be born first…’

Richard Simmons CABE’s former chief executive
‘The vital importance of retrofit will finally be grasped, and the Government will announce massive investment to enable the industry to innovate and tackle it. Only joking, sadly.’
 
Piers Taylor founder of Invisible Studio
‘We really will all begin to realise we’ve been screwed over by incompetent planners and developers for too long. They’ve ruined our towns and cities. There will be the beginnings of a backlash and we’ll all demand better low cost housing.’

Harriet Harriss a senior Lecturer in Architecture at Oxford Brookes University
‘The numbers of part-time students will rise rapidly. Expect architecture schools to start to offering more alluring options, particularly if it wants to attract a more diverse range of students. Schools that don’t can continue to soak up an increasingly mono-cultural cohort.’

Murray Fraser, professor of Architecture and Global Culture + Vice-Dean of Research for the Bartlett Faculty of the Built Environment
‘Social housing will become much more important given the seemingly endless economic recession and the dramatically fall in the rate of owner occupation in Britain, as revealed by the findings of the recent census.

Social housing will become much more important

This abandoning of the old 1980s clichés about the benefits of the property-owning democracy has to be regarded as one of the greatest social changes of our times. It also represents a major design opportunity for architects.’

Martyn Evans at Cathedral Group
‘Michael Gove will suddenly wake up and realise that inspired building design means inspired teaching and inspired children.  We can dream.’

Angela Brady, RIBA President
‘The realisation by Global warming deniers that flood mitigation planning is desperately needed. The profession will be seeking out ever more opportunities overseas. Our architects will gain more work in Asia, South America and Africa where we will showcase new innovative designs and master planning for the new towns and cities that will be built.’

Roger Stephenson, Roger Stephenson Architects
‘A different government would be great.’

Hari Phillips, Bell Phillips Architects
‘O’Donnell & Tuomey’s LSE Building finally wins them their much deserved and overdue Stirling Prize.’

Hank Dittmar, chief executive Prince’s Foundation
‘London will collectively realise that the recent rash of tall statement buildings are not making us a world class city— we already are— they are homogenizing the metropolis, gratifying corporate egos and driving land values out of sight. RIBA will realise that it is right to campaign for better homes and for more work by architects on non-iconic projects, and both RIBA and the trade publications will spend more time championing those working to improve quality, urbanism and delivery for homes, schools, shops and offices and less time promoting the antics of the famous practitioners of iconic architecture and self branding. OK, it’s more of a holiday wish than a prediction…’

Naushad Islam, director, idp north west
‘I’m very positive about the industry for next year. Rather than relying on ‘green shoots’ we should go out there and plant some great big trees ourselves.’

Tom Holbrook, 5th Studio
‘Never let a crisis go to waste - 2013 is going to be a great year for consolidation. For us: that means getting some stuff built after much preparation on many projects, and the opportunity to pull together a lot of powerful ideas which have been ricocheting around the studio.’

Nick Johnson, former director at Urban Splash
‘Small is beautiful – bigness is our enemy.’

Luke Tozer of Director, Pitman Tozer Architects
‘London’s residential value bubble will pop as footloose international capital flees to more lucrative opportunities overseas and housing supply increases.’

Hugh Broughton, director at Hugh Broughton Architects
‘BIM will continue to gather pace through the year and increasing numbers of OJEU notices will require evidence of application by architectural offices to be considered for public projects. The IFC (Industry Foundation Class) standard will begin to take over from Revit as the BIM system of choice.’

Matthew Wells, director at Techniker
‘Revolution on the streets over school buildings.’

Erin Davidson, partner at Feilden and Mawson
‘2013 is going to be a very busy, pivotal year for me. From a professional point of view I’ve got a lot of wonderful projects to work on and I’m also due to become a mother in 2013 so I’m relishing the challenge of establishing the perfect work/life balance.’

Lyn Edwards, our Senior Partner at GMW 
I expect the recession to continue and it will be accompanied by general austerity. However, I am optimistic for prospects in central London. The most promising sector for growth is TMT (Technology/Media/Telecoms)and for projects in the immediate future, I believe ‘small is beautiful’.

David Birkbeck chief executive of Design for Homes,
‘Since 1997, Cambridge has redrawn its greenbelt, putting 328 ha of land just outside the city into the local plan and pushing its green belt a little further out. End result is well connected high quality urban extensions, such as Great Kneighton . Cambridge is the only city to have bitten the bullet. I predict 2013 will be when others recognise that redrawing the greenbelt may be the most sustainable option. The alternative is to plonk housing beyond the existing greenbelt where there is no public transport or facilities, and then expect people to drive to district centres for work or leisure - during which they can admire the green belt while stuck in traffic.’ 

Peter Morris, Peter Morris Architect
‘2013 will be bright for architects who can engage communities and find alternative sources of funding. This will be our focus next year.’

Dieter Gockmann,  director at  EPR Architects
‘Architects that challenge the status quo and demonstrate an ability to adapt and adopt new ways of intelligent working will see an end to the recession. Those that don’t may find their days are numbered…’

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